The Congressional Evaluation Project: Table 14

The Congressional Evaluation Project: Table 14 — Incumbents who received < 56% of the vote in the last election, by party, strength of Religious Right in the local GOP, and percentage of vote.

Includes only those Senators whose term of office expires in 2004.

Incumbent Senator	state	party	RR in state GOP	% votes 1998	terms	Chr. Coalition-03
Boxer, Barbara	CA	D	moderate-down	53	2	0
Reid, Harry	NV	D	moderate-nc	48	3	16
Feingold, Russell	WI	D	moderate-nc	51	2	0
Lincoln, Blanche	AR	D	strong-up	55	1	16
Schumer, Charles	NY	D	weak-nc	55	1	0
Bunning, Jim	KY	R	moderate-nc	50	1	100
Bond, Christopher	MO	R	strong-upup	53	3	100

Incumbent Representative	state/district	party	RR in state GOP	% votes 2002	terms	Chr. Coalition-03
Case, Ed	HI-2	D	moderate-down	44	1	8
Marshall, Jim	GA-03	D	moderate-down	51	1	75
Alexander, Rodney	LA-5	D	moderate-down	50	1	76
Larsen, Rick	WA-2	D	moderate-down	50	2	15
Cardoza, Dennis	CA-18	D	moderate-down	51	1	25
Miller, Brad	NC-13	D	moderate-down	55	1	15
Sanchez, Linda	CA-39	D	moderate-down	55	1	0
Matheson, Jim	UT-2	D	moderate-nc	49	2	61
Moore, Dennis	KS-3	D	moderate-nc	50	3	30
Ryan, Timi	OH-17	D	moderate-nc	51	1	25
Hill, Baron	IN-9	D	moderate-nc	51	3	53
Holden, Tim	PA-17	D	moderate-nc	51	6	69
Michaud, Michael	ME-2	D	moderate-nc	52	1	33
Carson, Julia	IN-7	D	moderate-nc	53	4	25
Berkley, Shelley	NV-1	D	moderate-nc	54	3	10
Van Hollen, Chris	MD-8	D	moderate-up	52	1	8
Davis, Lincoln	TN-4	D	moderate-up	52	1	72
Pomeroy, Earl	ND	D	moderate-up	52	6	38
Ruppersberger, Dutch	MD-2	D	moderate-up	54	1	33
Stenholm, Charles	TX-17	D	strong-nc	51	13	61
Edwards, Chet	TX-11	D	strong-nc	52	7	23
Boswell, Leonard	IA-3	D	strong-nc	53	4	38
Bell, Chris	TX-25	D	strong-nc	55	1	8
Hooley, Darlene	OR-5	D	strong-nc	55	4	25
Thompson, Bennie	MS-2	D	strong-up	55	5	7
Bishop, Tim	NY-01	D	weak-nc	50	1	16
Gingrey, Phil	GA-11	R	moderate-down	52	1	100
Burns, Max	GA-12	R	moderate-down	55	1	100
Brown-Waite, Ginny	FL-05	R	moderate-down	48	1	100
Renzi, Rick	AZ-1	R	moderate-down	49	1	100
Hayes, Robin	NC-08	R	moderate-down	54	3	100
Harris, Katherine	FL-13	R	moderate-down	55	1	100
Chocola, Chris	IN-2	R	moderate-nc	50	1	92
Gerlach, Jim	PA-06	R	moderate-nc	51	1	83
Hostettler, John	IN-8	R	moderate-nc	51	5	100
Northrup, Anne	KY-3	R	moderate-nc	52	4	92
Wilson, Heather	NM-1	R	moderate-up	55	3	76
Shimkus, John	IL-19	R	moderate-up	55	4	100
Rogers, Mike	AL-3	R	strong-nc	50	1	100
Neugebauer, Randy	TX-19	R	strong-nc	51	1	100
Bonilla, Henry	TX-23	R	strong-nc	52	6	76
Leech, Jim	IA-2	R	strong-nc	52	14	38
Kline, John	MN-2	R	strong-nc	53	1	92
Cole, Tom	OK-4	R	strong-nc	54	1	100
Latham, Tom	IA-4	R	strong-nc	55	5	92
Beauprez, Bob	CO-7	R	strong-upup	47	1	100
Musgrave, Marilyn	CO-4	R	strong-upup	55	1	100
Simmons, Rob	CT-2	R	weak-nc	54	2	46
Johnson, Nancy	CT-5	R	weak-nc	54	11	41

Key to Abbreviations
State or state/district : the incumbent's constituents.
Party: Democrat (D), Republican (R), Democrat-Farm-Labor (DFL), Independent (I).
RR in state GOP: Estimated strength of the Religious Right in the state Republican Party.
% vote 1998 or % vote 2002: Incumbent's winning percentage of the last vote.
Terms: The number of terms served in this elected position.
Religious affiliation: Primary religious affiliation.
Military service.: Service in the U.S. military, National Guard or Peace Corps. Wartime service is indicated by WW for World War II, K for Korea, V for Vietnam. OCS is Officers Candidate School.
Democratic Action: Americans for Democratic Action.
ACLU: American Civil Liberties Union.
AFSCME: American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees.
Ppl. for Amer. Way: People for the American Way.
Conservation: League of Conservation Voters.
Public Health : American Public Health Association.
Family/Repro. Health '99-'03: National Family Planning and Reproductive Health Association.
NEA-03: National Education Association.
Ch. of Commerce: Chamber of Commerce of the United States.
Right to Life: National Right to Life Committee.
Conservative Union: American Conservative Union.
Gun Owners: Gun Owners of America.
Tax Limits: National Tax Limitation Committee.
Chr. Coalition: The Christian Coalition of America.
***: not running for re-election this year.
sp. el.: put into office by a special election in 2004

The Congressional Evaluation Project
Table 13 — Membership in the Congressional Black Caucus, in order of number of terms served and percentage of vote received in 2002
Table 15 — Congressional incumbents who served in the military or the Peace Corps, by Christian Coalition approval rating

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